Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 50.68K | $0.857 | $49.14K | +$5.71K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 30.53 | $0.860 | $26.26 | May 14, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 24.26K |
| $0.890 |
| $24.1K |
| +$2.51K |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 9.19K | $0.688 | $8.32K | +$1.99K |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.95K | $0.916 | $7.51K | +$230.54 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 5.07K | $0.883 | $4.21K | -$270.65 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 15.76K | $0.352 | $4.02K | -$1.52K |
| buy |
| 45.24K |
| $0.860 |
| $38.91K |
| May 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 9.64 | $0.830 | $8 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 583 | $0.830 | $483.89 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 4.82K | $0.830 | $4K | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 23.26K | $0.890 | $20.7K | May 3, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.95K | $0.916 | $7.28K | May 3, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | buy | 5.07K | $0.883 | $4.48K | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.895 | $1.94K | May 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 12.34K | $0.369 | $4.55K | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 837.24 | $0.970 | $812.12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 43.66K | $0.970 | $42.35K | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 13.53K | $0.992 | $13.42K | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 25.61K | $0.720 | $18.44K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 17.45K | $0.750 | $13.08K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 12.62K | $0.750 | $9.46K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 23.18K | $0.700 | $16.23K | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.840 | $1.23K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.41K | $0.290 | $989.78 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.34K | $0.700 | $2.34K | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 13.98K | $0.810 | $11.32K | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.98K | $0.973 | $11.65K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.98K | $0.920 | $11.02K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 37.89 | $0.890 | $33.72 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 3.71K | $0.908 | $3.37K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 825.71 | $0.895 | $739.38 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.974 | $2.1K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 9.19K | $0.688 | $6.32K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 14.81K | $0.899 | $13.32K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 7.92K | $0.975 | $7.72K | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 947.37 | $0.950 | $900 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.930 | $1.4K | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 601.73 | $0.900 | $541.56 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.691 | $1.62K | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.940 | $1.33K | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 11.8K | $0.849 | $10.02K | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?No | buy | 900 | $0.938 | $844.32 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 950 | $0.945 | $897.75 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 950 | $0.944 | $896.93 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.610 | $1.31K | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 101.46 | $0.880 | $89.28 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 3.4K | $0.940 | $3.2K | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.940 | $1.22K | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.945 | $2.74K | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.945 | $1.52K | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 156.53 | $0.820 | $128.35 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 941.78 | $0.820 | $772.26 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.975 | $2.15K | Oct 27, 2025 |