Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 290.01 | $0.350 | $42.05 | -$59.45 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.998 | $1.91K | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 31.75 |
| $0.630 |
| $29.68 |
| +$9.68 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 59.88 | $0.167 | $4.28 | -$5.72 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.390 | $3.72 | -$6.28 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.340 | $3.24 | -$6.76 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $3.15 | -$6.85 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 10.81 | $0.370 | $1.46 | -$2.54 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
| buy |
| 602.95 |
| $0.750 |
| $451.97 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 1.7K | $0.055 | $92.72 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.530 | $13.25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.350 | $105 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.350 | $105 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 1.04K | $0.916 | $952.9 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.02K | $0.961 | $980.1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 16.46 | $0.570 | $9.38 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | sell | 145.7 | $0.180 | $26.23 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | buy | 142.16 | $0.670 | $95.25 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | sell | 17 | $0.990 | $16.83 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 16.46 | $0.570 | $9.38 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | sell | 132.6 | $0.300 | $39.78 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | buy | 130.08 | $0.740 | $96.26 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | sell | 95 | $0.185 | $17.56 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | sell | 77.4 | $0.160 | $12.38 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 150.27 | $0.630 | $94.67 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 17.29 | $0.540 | $9.34 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 32.01 | $0.280 | $8.96 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | sell | 15.45 | $0.990 | $15.3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 15.03 | $0.630 | $9.47 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.056 | $5.56 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 363.18 | $0.003 | $1.09 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 230 | $0.007 | $1.61 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 37.9 | $0.310 | $11.75 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.251 | $3.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 250 | $0.100 | $25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.102 | $21.37 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.110 | $25.3 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 230 | $0.110 | $25.3 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 102.26 | $0.025 | $2.61 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 797.51 | $0.029 | $23.05 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 800 | $0.300 | $240 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.446 | $803.12 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 98.69 | $0.070 | $6.91 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.259 | $309.08 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.540 | $540 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 366.36 | $0.593 | $217.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 420 | $0.022 | $9.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 32.52 | $0.024 | $0.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 345 | $0.024 | $8.42 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 210.41 | $0.021 | $4.52 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.031 | $28.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 267.88 | $0.030 | $7.93 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 131.5 | $0.034 | $4.46 | Apr 12, 2026 |