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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | buy | 19.25 | $0.065 | $1.26 | Jul 1, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 32 |
| $0.250 |
| $8 |
| Jun 27, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | buy | 142.09 | $0.091 | $12.93 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 58.8 | $0.560 | $32.93 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 58.8 | $0.510 | $29.99 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 46.21 | $0.690 | $31.88 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 51.22 | $0.510 | $26.12 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 54.43 | $0.480 | $26.13 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 54.43 | $0.460 | $25.04 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | buy | 325.88 | $0.061 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 194.81 | $0.077 | $15 | Nov 22, 2024 |