Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 708.21 | $0.005 | $3.54 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 19.15 |
| $0.172 |
| $3.29 |
| Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Skedaddle" in December?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.600 | $1.05 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 in December?Yes | sell | 52.94 | $0.006 | $0.32 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?Yes | sell | 170.75 | $0.017 | $2.9 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | sell | 68.72 | $0.081 | $5.57 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Retarded" this week? (December 1 - 7)Yes | sell | 8 | $0.108 | $0.87 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 174.51 | $0.015 | $2.66 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.300 | $0.94 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.260 | $0.93 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | buy | 455.44 | $0.976 | $444.7 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | buy | 103.51 | $0.966 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.280 | $0.58 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 11.26 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Depression" while tripping balls?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Stress" or "DNA" or "Sexual" while tripping balls?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.16 | $0.522 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | sell | 234 | $0.033 | $7.72 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | sell | 97.94 | $0.022 | $2.15 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |