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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.993 | $9 | Mar 12, 2025 |
![]() |
| buy |
| 3.1 |
| $0.969 |
| $3 |
| Mar 12, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Heat vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.010 | $0.3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.032 | $0.3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.004 | $0.3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Dec 23, 2024 |