Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 300.4 |
| $0.870 |
| $261.35 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.110 | $27.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.110 | $27.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | sell | 300.39 | $0.830 | $249.32 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.760 | $380 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 1.25K | $0.730 | $912.5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.741 | $185.25 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.742 | $111.3 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 134.92 | $0.741 | $100 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 192.31 | $0.780 | $150 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 250 | $0.780 | $195 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.780 | $234 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?Yes | sell | 33.52 | $0.823 | $27.59 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.430 | $107.5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 350 | $0.800 | $280 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 121.78 | $0.890 | $108.38 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 700 | $0.910 | $637 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 520.88 | $0.890 | $463.58 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.790 | $592.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.576 | $287.88 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.570 | $285.19 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $444.92 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.720 | $180 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.770 | $192.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 20.39 | $0.748 | $15.25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 190.65 | $0.743 | $141.62 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.740 | $185 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.704 | $175.9 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 187.4 | $0.675 | $126.5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.720 | $360 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ETDown | buy | 288.58 | $0.098 | $28.21 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ETDown | buy | 150 | $0.197 | $29.6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ETDown | buy | 158.27 | $0.260 | $41.15 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ETUp | sell | 150 | $0.440 | $66 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ETUp | buy | 150 | $0.320 | $48 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 90.68 | $0.666 | $60.39 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.941 | $1.41K | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 150 | $0.760 | $114 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 1K | $0.750 | $750 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 North Korea missile launch by December 31?No | buy | 152 | $0.850 | $129.2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 124.48 | $0.710 | $88.38 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 370.26 | $0.830 | $307.32 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 284.64 | $0.830 | $236.25 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.930 | $1.51K | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 691.99 | $0.530 | $366.75 | Nov 19, 2025 |