Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 18 | $0.520 | $9.36 | May 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 268 |
| $0.121 |
| $32.43 |
| Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 164 | $0.714 | $117.1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 138 | $0.857 | $118.27 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.857 | $118.27 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 248 | $0.968 | $240.06 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.929 | $27.87 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 258 | $0.929 | $239.68 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 535 | $0.016 | $8.56 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 27 | $0.977 | $26.38 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.894 | $9.83 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 207 | $0.894 | $185.06 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 283 | $0.967 | $273.66 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 283 | $0.968 | $273.94 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.920 | $13.8 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?No | sell | 13 | $0.998 | $12.97 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Hillary?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.039 | $0.98 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 13 | $0.992 | $12.9 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No | sell | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Jan 4, 2025 |