Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.991 | $1.1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.06 |
| $0.861 |
| $0.91 |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.905 | $1.14 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.940 | $1.19 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.311 | $24.85 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.350 | $28 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 702.8 | $0.995 | $699.29 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 702.81 | $0.996 | $700 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.995 | $1.02K | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.996 | $1.02K | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.995 | $1.02K | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.996 | $1.02K | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.995 | $1.02K | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.996 | $1.02K | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.968 | $1.03 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 20?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 50.55 | $0.999 | $50.5 | May 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.988 | $1.03 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | May 30, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.800 | $1.02 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.760 | $1.02 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.710 | $1.06 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.987 | $1.05 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Minnesota Twins sale announced before July?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 0.48 | $0.939 | $0.45 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 0.44 | $0.910 | $0.4 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 East coast port strike in January?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.780 | $0.12 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.890 | $0.16 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.950 | $0.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.978 | $0.06 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.980 | $0.05 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Martin Small announced as next BlackRock CEO?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.990 | $0.11 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.779 | $0.05 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.973 | $0.39 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.982 | $0.03 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.896 | $0.03 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.978 | $0.1 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.969 | $0.13 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.960 | $0.1 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.990 | $0.12 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 OpenSea blocks US users in 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.940 | $0.05 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?Yes | buy | 0.24 | $0.680 | $0.16 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.500 | $0.11 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.915 | $0.1 | Sep 26, 2024 |