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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.58 | $0.955 | $0.57 | +$0.01 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.080 | $2.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.45 |
| $0.045 |
| $0.02 |
| -$0 |
| buy |
| 70 |
| $0.080 |
| $5.6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.020 | $0.68 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.968 | $47.43 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.039 | $1.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.116 | $3.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.113 | $8.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 43 | $0.955 | $41.07 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 51 | $0.955 | $48.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.980 | $49.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.980 | $49.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.938 | $47.84 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.032 | $4.16 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.026 | $3.67 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.058 | $0.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.750 | $47.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.959 | $16.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.090 | $3.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.660 | $44.22 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.068 | $4.9 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.410 | $48.38 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.420 | $49.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.032 | $1.41 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.038 | $1.41 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.038 | $1.41 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 12 | $0.953 | $11.44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.310 | $19.22 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.310 | $26.04 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.310 | $45.26 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.810 | $14.58 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.042 | $3.28 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.204 | $16.73 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 16 | $0.974 | $15.58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.880 | $18.48 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.840 | $17.64 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.071 | $3.12 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.370 | $3.33 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.440 | $3.96 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.580 | $42.92 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.240 | $8.16 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | May 28, 2026 |