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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 4.08 | $0.490 | $3.41 | +$1.41 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.52 |
| $0.210 |
| $2.05 |
| +$0.05 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.36 | $0.220 | $0.35 | -$1.05 |
| buy |
| 2.5 |
| $0.800 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 3d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 12d ago |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 12d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.360 | $1.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.480 | $1.71 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.630 | $1.89 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.710 | $1.98 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.731 | $1.85 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.264 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.680 | $1.38 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.750 | $1.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.36 | $0.220 | $1.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |