Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | No | 52.77 | $0.948 | $51.42 | +$1.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.998 | $50 | 14h ago |
|
| No |
| 26.04 |
| $0.960 |
| $25.62 |
| +$0.62 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 87.1 | $0.069 | $3.92 | -$2.08 |
| sell |
| 50.76 |
| $0.996 |
| $50.56 |
| 1d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes | buy | 87.1 | $0.069 | $6 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | 12d ago |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | 12d ago |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Yes | buy | 24.74 | $0.970 | $24 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | 16d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?No | buy | 25.53 | $0.940 | $24 | 18d ago |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?No | sell | 19.14 | $0.918 | $17.57 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 48.38 | $0.150 | $7.26 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.55 | $0.550 | $8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 7.22 | $0.970 | $7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.550 | $30 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.357 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 30?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.880 | $6.77 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 25?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.310 | $15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?Yes | buy | 20.01 | $0.950 | $19 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.960 | $18 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?Yes | buy | 18.22 | $0.988 | $18 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?Yes | buy | 17.53 | $0.970 | $17 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 20?Yes | buy | 17.1 | $0.994 | $17 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.240 | $16.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.920 | $14 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?No | buy | 16.05 | $0.810 | $13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | sell | 56.66 | $0.156 | $8.81 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | sell | 42.73 | $0.094 | $4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Vučić officially leave office by July 17?No | buy | 14.3 | $0.979 | $14 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.460 | $0.28 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.4 | $0.485 | $14.25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 56.67 | $0.300 | $17 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 42.74 | $0.234 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.170 | $7.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 93.33 | $0.050 | $4.67 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.200 | $14 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.33 | $0.090 | $8.4 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.180 | $7.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |