Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 63.84 | $0.770 | $53.94 | +$4.79 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.270 | $3.51 | 21d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.17 |
| $0.256 |
| $5.33 |
| +$1.2 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 42.88 | $0.087 | $2.79 | -$0.94 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.51 | $0.083 | $2.19 | +$0.82 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 51.01 | $0.026 | $1.76 | +$0.43 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 2.55 | $0.440 | $1.62 | +$0.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.02 | $0.366 | $1.51 | -$1.06 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.84 | $0.740 | $1.43 | +$0.07 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 1.45 | $0.946 | $1.42 | +$0.04 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.09 | $0.330 | $1.38 | +$0.36 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.47 | $0.120 | $1.34 | -$0.87 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.909 | $1.12 | +$0.05 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.99 | $0.984 | $0.97 | -$0 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 10.03 | $0.110 | $0.85 | -$0.25 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 126.02 | $0.011 | $0.82 | -$0.63 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 0.99 | $0.439 | $0.81 | +$0.37 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.72 | $0.950 | $0.71 | +$0.02 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.7 | $0.939 | $0.69 | +$0.03 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 0.71 | $0.904 | $0.68 | +$0.03 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 3.19 | $0.406 | $0.65 | -$0.64 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.392 | $0.58 | +$0.13 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 5.44 | $0.220 | $0.57 | -$0.63 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 0.56 | $0.920 | $0.55 | +$0.03 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0.6 | $0.711 | $0.51 | +$0.08 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 7.73 | $0.138 | $0.5 | -$0.57 |
| sell |
| 12 |
| $0.086 |
| $1.03 |
| 22d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.086 | $1.03 | 22d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.720 | $2.16 | 22d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.820 | $4.92 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 28d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.912 | $1.14 | 28d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.660 | $1.58 | 28d ago |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.200 | $1.2 | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 4 | $0.820 | $3.28 | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 29d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.106 | $1.06 | 29d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.140 | $1.26 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.670 | $1.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.350 | $1.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.103 | $1.03 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.730 | $4.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 1.7 | $0.710 | $1.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.820 | $1.57 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 9.35 | $0.810 | $7.57 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 15 | $0.780 | $11.7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3 | $0.780 | $2.34 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.770 | $5.97 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.760 | $1.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 75.25 | $0.050 | $3.76 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.340 | $6.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.620 | $5.58 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.093 | $1.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 8 | $0.620 | $4.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | sell | 27.5 | $0.264 | $7.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.119 | $5.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 42.5 | $0.025 | $1.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.36 | $0.220 | $1.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.230 | $1.32 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.260 | $1.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.220 | $2.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.12 | $0.330 | $1.36 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.380 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.400 | $6.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.116 | $1.16 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.500 | $1.11 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.360 | $3.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.59 | $0.370 | $1.33 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.81 | $0.370 | $4.37 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.2 | $0.360 | $2.23 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.75 | $0.370 | $3.24 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 15.4 | $0.360 | $5.54 | Jul 28, 2026 |