Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.640 | $65.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.840 |
| $47 |
| +$5 |
 Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 100 | $0.570 | $45 | -$12 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.540 | $31.75 | +$4.75 |
 Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | No | 50 | $0.839 | $31.48 | -$10.48 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.540 | $31.25 | +$4.25 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.740 | $22 | -$15 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 50 | $0.490 | $18.5 | -$6 |
 Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $14.9 | -$2.7 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | No | 50 | $0.480 | $13.75 | -$10.25 |
 Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | No | 20 | $0.680 | $11.9 | -$1.7 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.530 | $10.2 | -$0.4 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | No | 50 | $0.610 | $9.75 | -$20.75 |
 Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $7.7 | -$1.5 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | Yes | 50 | $0.240 | $7.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | No | 15 | $0.540 | $6.68 | -$1.43 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.510 | $6.5 | -$19 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $6.5 | -$1.9 |
 Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.640 | $4.75 | -$27.25 |
 Will Dplus Challengers win LCK CL 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.450 | $4 | -$5 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.710 | $2.6 | -$11.6 |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Yes | 20 | $0.200 | $2.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $2.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.360 | $1.71 | -$5.49 |
 Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | No | 20 | $0.290 | $1.13 | -$4.67 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.110 |
| $2.2 |
| 9d ago |
 Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 22d ago |
 Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 23d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 20?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 23d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 23d ago |
 Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 16.04 | $0.730 | $11.71 | 23d ago |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?No | sell | 4.23 | $0.410 | $1.73 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?No | sell | 20 | $0.541 | $10.83 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 24d ago |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 25d ago |
 Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.034 | $0.68 | 25d ago |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.145 | $2.9 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 25d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 25d ago |
 Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?No | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.403 | $8.05 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 26d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 26d ago |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 29?No | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?No | sell | 20 | $0.522 | $10.45 | 26d ago |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 26d ago |
 Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 26d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 26d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 26d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.628 | $12.57 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.437 | $21.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.643 | $12.86 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?No | sell | 50 | $0.756 | $37.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Aug 6, 2026 |