Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 PM UTC.
Analytics
Somber-Pocketwatch has made $14.23 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 PM UTC.
$22.55 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 10, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | No | 41.83 | $0.997 | $41.43 | -$0.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?No | buy | 41.83 | $0.997 | $41.7 | 10h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 19:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:46 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 19:48 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $10.5 and losing ones cost $2.9 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.22 on “Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.5 on “Manchester City wins the Premier League?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 184 markets. Its open positions are worth $41.43 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 22?No| buy |
| 21.08 |
| $0.996 |
| $21 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No | buy | 21.04 | $0.998 | $21 | 5d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?No | buy | 28.59 | $0.997 | $28.5 | 5d ago |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13?Yes | buy | 18.11 | $0.994 | $18 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 12?Yes | buy | 15.33 | $0.998 | $15.3 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.998 | $23 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No | buy | 31.49 | $0.997 | $31.4 | 15d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?Yes | buy | 26.1 | $0.996 | $26 | 16d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 2?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 30?No | buy | 38.25 | $0.996 | $38.1 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?No | buy | 23.72 | $0.995 | $23.6 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 21-27?No | buy | 27.05 | $0.998 | $27 | 28d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?No | buy | 30.53 | $0.996 | $30.4 | 29d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?Yes | buy | 14.03 | $0.998 | $14 | 29d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.997 | $12 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 14?Yes | buy | 28.24 | $0.998 | $28.2 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?Yes | buy | 16.06 | $0.996 | $16 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.07 | $0.997 | $23 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?Yes | buy | 26.28 | $0.997 | $26.2 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?No | buy | 33.23 | $0.996 | $33.1 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 26.05 | $0.998 | $26 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 14.24 | $0.997 | $14.2 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 12.34 | $0.997 | $12.3 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $160 in August?No | buy | 29.12 | $0.996 | $29 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 19.94 | $0.998 | $19.9 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?Yes | buy | 28.2 | $0.993 | $28 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?Yes | buy | 20.68 | $0.996 | $20.6 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?No | buy | 36.98 | $0.995 | $36.8 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 11?Yes | buy | 13.07 | $0.995 | $13 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?No | buy | 24.07 | $0.997 | $24 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9?No | buy | 22.65 | $0.998 | $22.6 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?Yes | buy | 22.61 | $0.995 | $22.5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.998 | $11.56 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No | buy | 11.42 | $0.998 | $11.4 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 30.55 | $0.995 | $30.4 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?No | buy | 28.08 | $0.997 | $28 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 25?Yes | buy | 25.55 | $0.998 | $25.5 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24?No | buy | 23.14 | $0.994 | $23 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?No | buy | 23.29 | $0.996 | $23.2 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20?Yes | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.997 | $10.45 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?Yes | buy | 14.96 | $0.996 | $14.9 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 12?No | buy | 17.07 | $0.996 | $17 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?Yes | buy | 17.97 | $0.996 | $17.9 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No | buy | 27.05 | $0.998 | $27 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.