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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 266.75 | $0.566 | $198.73 | +$47.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 17.99 | $0.140 | $2.52 | 1h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.234 |
| $183.4 |
| +$89.61 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 212.23 | $0.810 | $177.22 | +$5.31 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 184.77 | $0.917 | $164.72 | -$4.66 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 426.57 | $0.222 | $95.98 | +$1.39 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 415.29 | $0.277 | $89.29 | -$25.63 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 91.48 | $0.890 | $80.96 | -$0.46 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.151 | $73.02 | -$78.2 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 129.88 | $0.723 | $71.43 | -$22.41 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 90 | $0.800 | $70.65 | -$1.35 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 127.77 | $0.517 | $60.69 | -$5.35 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 103.85 | $0.925 | $60.02 | -$36.06 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 107.85 | $0.679 | $59.86 | -$13.4 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.445 | $59 | -$30 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 166.51 | $0.362 | $58.53 | -$1.7 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 83.12 | $0.600 | $56.93 | +$7.06 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 340.54 | $0.246 | $55.68 | -$28.26 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.029 | $53.7 | +$9.83 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.875 | $44.73 | +$0.98 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 46.6 | $0.800 | $41.24 | +$3.96 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 31.07 | $0.830 | $26.36 | +$0.57 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 74.21 | $0.363 | $26.34 | -$0.59 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 31.23 | $0.856 | $25.96 | -$0.77 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 36.48 | $0.740 | $25.9 | -$1.09 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 41.67 | $0.650 | $25.21 | -$1.88 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.300 |
| $3 |
| 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 26.02 | $0.520 | $13.53 | 18h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | 19h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.800 | $60 | 19h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.710 | $22.54 | 22h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 13.69 | $0.899 | $12.31 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.896 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 8.72 | $0.900 | $7.85 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 240.94 | $0.860 | $207.21 | 1d ago |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 5.79 | $0.914 | $5.29 | 1d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 63.77 | $0.914 | $58.28 | 1d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 6.79 | $0.993 | $6.74 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 18.78 | $0.685 | $12.86 | 3d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.43 | $0.997 | $6.41 | 5d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 63.78 | $0.881 | $56.21 | 5d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.3 | $0.270 | $4.4 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.84 | $0.640 | $8.86 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.28 | $0.100 | $2.33 | 6d ago |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT1 | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | 7d ago |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT1 | buy | 10.27 | $0.440 | $4.52 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.870 | $14.36 | 7d ago |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.029 | $43.87 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No | sell | 55.57 | $0.740 | $41.12 | 10d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 177.67 | $0.890 | $158.13 | 10d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 23.75 | $0.510 | $12.11 | 10d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 60.87 | $0.850 | $51.74 | 10d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 68.87 | $0.870 | $59.92 | 10d ago |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.54 | $0.801 | $9.24 | 10d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 105.84 | $0.850 | $89.96 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.04 | $0.900 | $48.64 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.930 | $0.58 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.84 | $0.997 | $10.81 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.46 | $0.999 | $6.45 | 10d ago |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.67 | $0.950 | $5.39 | 11d ago |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | sell | 7.81 | $0.953 | $7.44 | 11d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 13.21 | $0.973 | $12.85 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.55 | $0.779 | $6.66 | 11d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 158.89 | $0.985 | $156.56 | 11d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 63.91 | $0.985 | $62.95 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.559 | $12.32 | 11d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 212.23 | $0.810 | $171.91 | 12d ago |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.810 | $6.51 | 12d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 63.92 | $0.951 | $60.81 | 12d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.880 | $11.62 | 12d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | sell | 46.5 | $0.440 | $20.46 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | sell | 19.58 | $0.454 | $8.89 | 13d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 91.48 | $0.890 | $81.42 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 62.54 | $0.790 | $49.41 | 13d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 36.55 | $0.932 | $34.06 | 13d ago |