Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 737.44 | $0.999 | $736.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 721.34 |
| $0.999 |
| $720.62 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 754.36 | $0.999 | $753.6 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 775.81 | $0.999 | $775.03 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.999 | $8.18 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 610.04 | $0.999 | $609.43 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 45.58 | $0.994 | $45.31 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 169.92 | $0.999 | $169.75 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 542.34 | $0.998 | $541.26 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 115.19 | $0.991 | $114.15 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 127.88 | $0.999 | $127.75 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 638.65 | $0.999 | $638.01 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 721.09 | $0.999 | $720.37 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 58.35 | $0.999 | $58.29 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No | buy | 326.87 | $0.998 | $326.22 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 440 | $0.999 | $439.56 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 473.04 | $0.990 | $468.31 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 527.11 | $0.999 | $526.58 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 506.39 | $0.999 | $505.88 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No | buy | 558.59 | $0.999 | $558.03 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 196.45 | $0.992 | $194.88 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 177.23 | $0.999 | $177.05 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 352.95 | $0.954 | $336.71 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 347.01 | $0.997 | $345.85 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 61.51 | $0.990 | $60.91 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 312.25 | $0.995 | $310.69 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 430.92 | $0.997 | $429.63 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 467.19 | $0.850 | $397.11 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.940 | $3.67 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 726.77 | $0.300 | $218.03 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 173.33 | $0.009 | $1.56 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 136.73 | $0.993 | $135.77 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 143.21 | $0.978 | $140.06 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.990 | $14.84 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 188.54 | $0.965 | $181.94 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 279.51 | $0.760 | $212.43 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 279.51 | $0.763 | $213.34 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 140.55 | $0.994 | $139.71 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 204.55 | $0.996 | $203.73 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 204.54 | $0.997 | $203.93 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 187.67 | $0.987 | $185.23 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 175.78 | $0.997 | $175.25 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 175.78 | $0.998 | $175.43 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 162.3 | $0.997 | $161.81 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 162.31 | $0.997 | $161.82 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.25-5.50 in May?No | buy | 7.76 | $0.999 | $7.75 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 143.98 | $0.997 | $143.55 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 143.99 | $0.998 | $143.7 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 163.54 | $0.997 | $163.05 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 163.55 | $0.998 | $163.22 | Jun 3, 2025 |