Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.39 | -$0.87 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 9.16 | $0.460 | $4.21 | 7d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 8.13 |
| $0.480 |
| $3.9 |
| 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 5.64 | $0.860 | $4.85 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.76 | $0.500 | $1.38 | 7d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.13 | $0.630 | $5.12 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.5 | $0.540 | $4.59 | 7d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.360 | $1.12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 16?Up | buy | 8.13 | $0.620 | $5.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.260 | $1.71 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.850 | $4.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.87 | $0.300 | $1.76 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.987 | $5.94 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.730 | $5.92 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.500 | $2.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.757 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.210 | $1.49 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.77 | $0.430 | $1.19 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.670 | $4.93 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.560 | $5.13 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.440 | $3.85 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.480 | $4.08 | May 30, 2026 |