Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Sep 30, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 66.67 |
| $0.150 |
| $10 |
| Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?No | buy | 28.92 | $0.830 | $24 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?No | buy | 42.24 | $0.580 | $24.5 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 25.82 | $0.340 | $8.78 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No | buy | 23.65 | $0.520 | $12.3 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.780 | $36 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on August 15?Down | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.070 | $1.16 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?Down | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Obama federally charged in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.044 | $1.29 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Astronomer Divorce ParlayYes | buy | 4.85 | $0.206 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Astronomer Divorce ParlayYes | buy | 4.85 | $0.206 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.250 | $1.09 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" this week?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk before August?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Green new scam" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fake News" during the Fox News interview on July 12?No | buy | 77.69 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during the Fox News interview on July 12?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on July 3?Down | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips before August?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 67.88 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 2025 June hottest on record?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 US kicks trans members out of military before July?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.939 | $14.23 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $110,000 on June 17?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |