Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 136.37 | $0.300 | $19.57 | -$21.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 529.41 | $0.034 | $18 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 33.33 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.67 |
| -$1.33 |
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 250 | $0.006 | $0.88 | -$0.63 |
| buy |
| 24.83 |
| $0.924 |
| $22.94 |
| Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.7 | $0.570 | $0.97 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.006 | $10.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.147 | $3 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 250 | $0.006 | $1.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 70.31 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 77.93 | $0.013 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 73.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.013 | $3 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 466.67 | $0.009 | $4.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 27?No | buy | 47.4 | $0.050 | $2.37 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 27?Yes | buy | 236.46 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 27?Yes | buy | 85.57 | $0.035 | $3 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.346 | $3.33 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 452.37 | $0.020 | $9 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.19 | $0.743 | $15 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.020 | $21.71 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 136.37 | $0.300 | $40.91 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by August 31?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.042 | $15 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.100 | $35 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 183.28 | $0.082 | $15 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 405.41 | $0.037 | $15 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?No | buy | 527.22 | $0.017 | $9 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 883.46 | $0.024 | $21 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?No | buy | 670.38 | $0.045 | $30 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?No | buy | 65.65 | $0.084 | $5.51 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?Yes | buy | 128.19 | $0.035 | $4.5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.6K | $0.001 | $3.6 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 75.13 | $0.080 | $6.01 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 1?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | buy | 4.5K | $0.001 | $4.5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 807.19 | $0.007 | $6 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?No | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.006 | $6.22 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Robotics" during the Q2 2025 Amazon earnings call?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q2 2025 Amazon earnings call?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 44.86 | $0.272 | $12.21 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.002 | $3.44 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.46K | $0.001 | $4.46 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 4.71K | $0.003 | $14.12 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 17.37K | $0.003 | $60 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 3.98K | $0.003 | $11.93 | Jul 30, 2025 |