Latest trade
Jul 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 10:41 PM UTC.
Bold Kestrel B843 is down $5.41K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 10:41 PM UTC.
$5,000 median trade
Its latest 15 trades covered 13 markets; 86.7% were buys. They run from Jan 9, 2026 UTC to Jul 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 19.05K | $0.420 | $8K | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-11 04:58 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 22:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
15 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 22:41 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-11 04:58 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $5.48K and losing ones cost $971 across 11 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.91K on “Will France win on 2026-07-09?” (Yes); the largest loss, $671 on “US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Jul 2026. It has traded 13 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 4.05K |
| $0.740 |
| $3K |
| Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.570 | $1.3K | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 8.16K | $0.613 | $5K | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 317.02 | $0.631 | $200 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 338.1 | $0.444 | $150 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 179.93 | $0.556 | $100 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?No | buy | 9.23K | $0.975 | $9K | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 838.75 | $0.800 | $671 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes | buy | 670.57 | $0.945 | $634 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 9.28K | $0.887 | $8.23K | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?No | sell | 8.26K | $0.997 | $8.23K | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 8.26K | $0.985 | $8.13K | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 10.04K | $0.810 | $8.13K | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 10.04K | $0.803 | $8.06K | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |