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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.918 | $0.92 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 188 |
| $0.870 |
| $163.56 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 188 | $0.870 | $163.56 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 153 | $0.975 | $149.17 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 76 | $0.977 | $74.25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 315 | $0.012 | $3.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.035 | $0.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 573 | $0.046 | $26.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 584 | $0.045 | $26.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.101 | $12.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 176.81 | $0.065 | $11.49 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 176 | $0.930 | $163.68 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.270 | $17.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.260 | $80.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 107 | $0.880 | $94.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 317 | $0.460 | $145.82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 284 | $0.015 | $4.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.015 | $4.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 150 | $0.970 | $145.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 205 | $0.710 | $145.55 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 97 | $0.450 | $43.65 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.350 | $18.55 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.460 | $24.38 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 176 | $0.942 | $165.79 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 176 | $0.941 | $165.62 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.923 | $36 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 121 | $0.919 | $111.2 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 160 | $0.902 | $144.32 | May 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.01 | $0.440 | $51.48 | May 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 210 | $0.570 | $119.7 | May 26, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 226 | $0.490 | $110.74 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 286 | $0.500 | $143 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 129 | $0.340 | $43.86 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 164 | $0.959 | $157.28 | May 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 173 | $0.989 | $171.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 189.98 | $0.710 | $134.89 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 233 | $0.700 | $163.1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 169 | $0.960 | $162.24 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 169 | $0.960 | $162.24 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.770 | $30.03 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.970 | $1.11K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.970 | $1.11K | May 15, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?Yes | buy | 728 | $0.033 | $24.02 | May 14, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.984 | $1.1K | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 271.5 | $0.983 | $266.88 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.984 | $1K | May 12, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.985 | $1.1K | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.985 | $1.1K | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.985 | $1.1K | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.025 | $0.08 | Dec 16, 2025 |