Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 107.07 | $0.600 | $53.8 | -$10.44 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 201.06 | $0.500 | $100.53 | 18d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 276.46 |
| $0.500 |
| $138.27 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 208.44 | $0.500 | $104.22 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 239.46 | $0.500 | $119.73 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 185.3 | $0.500 | $92.65 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ETUp | buy | 220.65 | $0.510 | $112.53 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ETDown | buy | 157.37 | $0.509 | $80.08 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ETUp | buy | 407.75 | $0.510 | $207.95 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 24, 4AM ETUp | buy | 439.51 | $0.508 | $223.35 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 123.49 | $0.510 | $62.98 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 107.07 | $0.600 | $64.24 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 100.35 | $0.510 | $51.18 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ETDown | buy | 172.94 | $0.510 | $88.2 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ETUp | buy | 275.14 | $0.510 | $140.32 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ETDown | buy | 982.74 | $0.521 | $512 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 99.56 | $0.515 | $51.28 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 99.48 | $0.515 | $51.22 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 99.48 | $0.514 | $51.11 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 99.13 | $0.518 | $51.39 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | sell | 74 | $0.477 | $35.27 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 74 | $0.517 | $38.28 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 22.28 | $0.997 | $22.21 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 22.28 | $0.998 | $22.24 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 24.46 | $0.991 | $24.24 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 24.47 | $0.996 | $24.37 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Selma Bartholomew gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | sell | 29.63 | $0.991 | $29.36 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 29.64 | $0.993 | $29.43 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.32K | $0.001 | $6.32 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?Yes | sell | 10.6 | $0.994 | $10.54 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?Yes | buy | 10.6 | $0.998 | $10.58 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 6.73K | $0.001 | $6.73 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.33K | $0.001 | $5.33 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | sell | 248.97 | $0.976 | $242.99 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | buy | 248.98 | $0.980 | $244 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?No | sell | 206.76 | $0.991 | $204.9 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?No | buy | 206.77 | $0.993 | $205.32 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 246.46 | $0.988 | $243.5 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 246.46 | $0.990 | $244 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | sell | 270.03 | $0.985 | $265.98 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 270.03 | $0.987 | $266.52 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 255.51 | $0.996 | $254.49 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 255.51 | $0.998 | $255 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 209.4 | $0.974 | $203.96 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 209.41 | $0.978 | $204.8 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 235.68 | $0.995 | $234.5 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 235.69 | $0.997 | $234.98 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by November 7?Yes | sell | 271.92 | $0.987 | $268.35 | Sep 9, 2024 |