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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 162.24 | $0.016 | $2.61 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 162.24 |
| $0.616 |
| $100 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 323.01 | $0.384 | $124 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 226.08 | $0.993 | $224.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 500.93 | $0.200 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 507.15 | $0.197 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 226.09 | $0.230 | $52 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 728.25 | $0.690 | $502.49 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.660 | $150 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 500.98 | $0.599 | $300 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | buy | 237.5 | $0.211 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.240 | $150 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 455.71 | $0.373 | $170 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | sell | 696.66 | $0.090 | $62.7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 179.12 | $0.837 | $150 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 296.64 | $0.843 | $250 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 230.79 | $0.650 | $150 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | buy | 598.71 | $0.217 | $130 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 354.55 | $0.330 | $117 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | buy | 97.96 | $0.490 | $48 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 360.78 | $0.139 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 98.68 | $0.994 | $98.09 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | buy | 282.55 | $0.195 | $55 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.970 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.970 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 109.17 | $0.916 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.12 | $0.672 | $70 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 98.68 | $0.760 | $75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 177.05 | $0.599 | $106 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 133.56 | $0.599 | $80 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 152.78 | $0.720 | $110 | Feb 28, 2026 |