Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.07 | $0.430 | $4.76 | +$2.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.35 | $0.230 | $2.61 | 8h ago |
 |
Jade Meteor FE51 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #382,026 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$29.11 observed lifetime PnL, 75 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 44.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x189b52ee05f20630a7e05a48326bf935ab12fe51
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 8.42 |
| $0.310 |
| $4.5 |
| +$1.89 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 5.12 | $0.510 | $4.02 | +$1.41 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.83 | $0.540 | $3.79 | +$1.18 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 3.58 | $0.730 | $2.88 | +$0.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.35 | $0.230 | $2.78 | +$0.17 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | No | 3.58 | $0.730 | $2.68 | +$0.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 9.67 | $0.270 | $1.21 | -$1.4 |
| buy |
| 3.58 |
| $0.730 |
| $2.61 |
| 18h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.42 | $0.310 | $2.61 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.67 | $0.270 | $2.61 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.730 | $2.61 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.540 | $2.61 | 4d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.720 | $2.61 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.43 | $0.210 | $2.61 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.280 | $2.61 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 4.66 | $0.560 | $2.61 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.510 | $2.61 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.285 | $2.61 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.430 | $2.61 | 9d ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.656 | $2.61 | 21d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.800 | $2.61 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.7 | $0.223 | $2.61 | 22d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.74 | $0.387 | $2.61 | 22d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 7.91 | $0.330 | $2.61 | 23d ago |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.380 | $2.61 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.670 | $2.61 | 23d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.760 | $2.61 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.300 | $2.61 | 25d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.460 | $2.61 | 26d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.44 | $0.480 | $2.61 | 26d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.640 | $2.61 | 26d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.720 | $2.61 | 26d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.770 | $2.61 | 27d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.300 | $2.61 | 27d ago |
 Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 17?Down | buy | 5.97 | $0.437 | $2.61 | 27d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.740 | $2.61 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.260 | $2.61 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.360 | $2.61 | 29d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.340 | $2.61 | 29d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.800 | $2.61 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.470 | $2.61 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.540 | $2.61 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 4.66 | $0.560 | $2.61 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.43 | $0.210 | $2.61 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?Up | buy | 1.77 | $0.700 | $1.24 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 3.68 | $0.710 | $2.61 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.279 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.