Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 295.1 | $0.999 | $294.8 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 429.44 |
| $0.020 |
| $8.59 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 295.1 | $0.339 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.313 | $344 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.639 | $702.73 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 789.59 | $0.890 | $702.74 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 789.59 | $0.771 | $608.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 331.12 | $0.370 | $122.51 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 331.13 | $0.302 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 805.31 | $0.728 | $586.47 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 805.31 | $0.503 | $405.18 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.328 | $405.18 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 921.1 | $0.410 | $377.65 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 566.75 | $0.002 | $1.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 566.75 | $0.176 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | sell | 695.85 | $0.828 | $576.51 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 695.85 | $0.946 | $658.31 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 1.07K | $0.615 | $658.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 1.07K | $0.727 | $777.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 792.61 | $0.981 | $777.53 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 792.62 | $0.984 | $780.08 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 460.11 | $0.250 | $115.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 460.11 | $0.217 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 831.58 | $0.920 | $765.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 831.58 | $0.120 | $99.79 | Feb 27, 2026 |