Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 118.87 | $0.067 | $8 | May 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 209.12 |
| $0.038 |
| $8 |
| May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 59.65 | $0.335 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 87.96 | $0.455 | $40 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 139.11 | $0.359 | $50 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 293.62 | $0.068 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 177.72 | $0.281 | $50 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No | sell | 157.3 | $0.870 | $136.85 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.930 | $103.33 | May 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown | sell | 11.11 | $0.640 | $7.11 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp | sell | 14.49 | $0.550 | $7.97 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.810 | $90 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.650 | $100 | May 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 178.36 | $0.790 | $140.9 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No | buy | 157.3 | $0.890 | $140 | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 178.37 | $0.630 | $112.37 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp | buy | 61.86 | $0.070 | $4.33 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 8.98 | $0.290 | $2.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 125 | $0.978 | $122.27 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 187.62 | $0.413 | $77.45 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 387.44 | $0.900 | $348.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 352.94 | $0.988 | $348.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 352.94 | $0.640 | $225.88 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No | buy | 58.8K | $0.002 | $117.59 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No | buy | 137.34K | $0.002 | $274.67 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes | sell | 325.12 | $0.393 | $127.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | sell | 494.23 | $0.205 | $101.12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Yes | sell | 440.95 | $0.104 | $45.77 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 494.24 | $0.183 | $90.25 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Yes | buy | 440.95 | $0.068 | $30 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes | buy | 325.13 | $0.461 | $150 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 327.86 | $0.630 | $206.55 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 80.64 | $0.790 | $63.71 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No | buy | 29.75K | $0.003 | $87.45 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 327.87 | $0.610 | $200 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 287.44 | $0.582 | $167.39 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 384.61 | $0.400 | $153.84 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 15.13 | $0.507 | $7.67 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 10.51 | $0.950 | $9.99 | Feb 25, 2026 |