Latest trade
Mar 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:42 PM UTC.
Analytics
arialight is down $232.07 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:42 PM UTC.
$46.78 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 41 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Feb 18, 2026 UTC to Mar 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 17?No | buy | 51.1 | $0.930 | $47.52 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-22 06:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 14:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 14:42 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-22 06:22 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $140.06 and losing ones cost $445.59 across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.98 on “Will UMF Breiðablik win on 2025-12-18?” (No); the largest loss, $79.49 on “Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 29?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Mar 2026. It has traded 149 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 59.8 |
| $0.980 |
| $58.6 |
| Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 16?No | buy | 43.4 | $0.998 | $43.31 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kansas be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?No | buy | 36.29 | $0.986 | $35.78 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 15?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.971 | $5.88 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 15?No | buy | 60.6 | $0.968 | $58.66 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Sentimental Value" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?No | buy | 54 | $0.980 | $52.92 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $260?No | buy | 50 | $0.989 | $49.45 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 9 above $175?Yes | buy | 17.5 | $0.943 | $16.5 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Meta (META) close above $660 on March 12?No | buy | 75.7 | $0.990 | $74.94 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Meta (META) close above $670 on March 11?No | buy | 53 | $0.997 | $52.84 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 11?No | buy | 63.9 | $0.980 | $62.62 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on March 9?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.991 | $50.05 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 9?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.864 | $5.71 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.956 | $47.8 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.874 | $4.37 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.974 | $9.93 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: FC Nantes 3 - 2 Angers SCO?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.980 | $55.47 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Lille OSC 3 - 2 FC Lorient?No | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: AJ Auxerre 3 - 0 RC Strasbourg Alsace?No | buy | 33 | $0.970 | $32.01 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No | buy | 75.9 | $0.963 | $73.09 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?No | buy | 0.5 | $0.859 | $0.43 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?No | buy | 5 | $0.859 | $4.3 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on March 6?No | buy | 31.5 | $0.989 | $31.15 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $275?No | buy | 35.4 | $0.995 | $35.22 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.850 | $4.9 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?No | buy | 57.6 | $0.950 | $54.72 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?No | buy | 55 | $0.959 | $52.75 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 4?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.989 | $7.02 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 4?No | buy | 61.1 | $0.955 | $58.35 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 4?No | buy | 71 | $0.986 | $70.01 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Fulham FC 2 - 3 West Ham United FC?No | buy | 81.5 | $0.980 | $79.87 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Robert Hanig be the Republican Nominee for NC-01?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Robert Hanig be the Republican Nominee for NC-01?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be 1 NYT banner headline by February 28?Yes | buy | 38.5 | $0.980 | $37.73 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on February 27?No | sell | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on February 27?No | buy | 39.6 | $0.990 | $39.2 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana be the top performing crypto in February?No | buy | 46.5 | $0.990 | $46.04 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on February 27?No | buy | 49.7 | $0.998 | $49.6 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of February 23 above $670?No | buy | 30 | $0.959 | $28.77 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on February 28?No | buy | 52 | $0.962 | $50.02 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,475+ in February?No | buy | 68.3 | $0.990 | $67.62 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | sell | 6.61 | $0.993 | $6.56 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | buy | 66.09 | $0.990 | $65.43 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 62.4 | $0.986 | $61.53 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 26?No | buy | 18.1 | $0.989 | $17.9 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 73.59 | $0.990 | $72.85 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 22?No | buy | 80.2 | $0.990 | $79.4 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 20?No | buy | 30.7 | $0.940 | $28.86 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be less than 50?No | buy | 74.2 | $0.985 | $73.09 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.