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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6.3K | $0.766 | $5.39K | +$562.06 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 431.83 | $0.720 | $310.92 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.692 |
| $1.81K |
| +$425.68 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.2K | $0.903 | $1.15K | +$70.49 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1.26K | $0.861 | $1.11K | +$18.33 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.707 | $1.04K | -$17.45 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.582 | $999 | -$48.61 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.647 | $958.92 | +$52.83 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.607 | $915.36 | +$308.48 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.847 | $895 | +$47.77 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 899.99 | $0.539 | $769.49 | +$284.5 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.878 | $582 | +$55.07 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 580 | $0.593 | $449.5 | +$105.8 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 450 | $0.881 | $411.75 | +$15.25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.715 | $367.49 | +$10.09 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 368.7 | $0.908 | $335.51 | +$0.55 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.270 | $332.5 | +$197.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.414 | $327.91 | -$333.86 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 500 | $0.516 | $272.5 | +$14.6 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 295.02 | $0.893 | $269.94 | +$6.4 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.893 | $268.5 | +$0.5 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 300.21 | $0.736 | $244.67 | +$23.73 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | Yes | 395.03 | $0.671 | $238.99 | -$26.19 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.534 | $223.5 | +$63.29 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 232.55 | $0.913 | $219.64 | +$7.33 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 299.98 | $0.568 | $217.49 | +$47.18 |
| sell |
| 96.01 |
| $0.640 |
| $61.45 |
| 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.680 | $27.88 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?Yes | buy | 624.78 | $0.998 | $623.53 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.530 | $11.37 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.750 | $43.5 | 1d ago |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | buy | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.215 | $8.6 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 27.71 | $0.400 | $11.08 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | sell | 249.99 | $0.600 | $150.04 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.750 | $750.47 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.561 | $28.04 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.45 | $0.640 | $41.26 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.611 | $48.92 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 40.01 | $0.560 | $22.41 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 161.17 | $0.800 | $128.94 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.969 | $387.4 | 2d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 79.24 | $0.930 | $73.69 | 2d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | sell | 100 | $0.970 | $97.01 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.974 | $48.69 | 2d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.988 | $592.81 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 53.94 | $0.450 | $24.27 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 72.68 | $0.650 | $47.24 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 267.26 | $0.594 | $158.78 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 60.46 | $0.560 | $33.86 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.71 | $0.488 | $17.91 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.394 | $197.08 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.559 | $111.9 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 35.4 | $0.850 | $30.09 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 201.09 | $0.870 | $174.95 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 249.93 | $0.870 | $217.44 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.04 | $0.580 | $58.02 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.1 | $0.905 | $36.29 | 4d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No | sell | 15.73 | $0.953 | $14.99 | 4d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 158.69 | $0.850 | $134.89 | 4d ago |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No | sell | 298.74 | $0.959 | $286.51 | 4d ago |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No | sell | 184.19 | $0.966 | $178 | 4d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 5d ago |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | buy | 500 | $0.565 | $282.3 | 5d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.462 | $23.09 | 5d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | 5d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.370 | $3.42 | 5d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 91.48 | $0.740 | $67.72 | 5d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 67.32 | $0.746 | $50.19 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 5d ago |