Latest trade
Jan 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
Reliable-Elm is down $48.91 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 22 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:39 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Jan 12, 2026 UTC to Jan 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.38 | $0.524 | $93.48 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-24 07:55 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:39 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-24 07:55 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $145.43 and losing ones cost $65.82 across 22 settled positions. 40.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $42.17 on “Rockets vs. Kings” (Kings); the largest loss, $10 on “Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Jan 2026. It has traded 24 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 218.95 |
| $0.083 |
| $18.16 |
| Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.476 | $4.32 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsTrail Blazers | sell | 37.44 | $0.060 | $2.25 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.870 | $3.62 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.115 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.05 | $0.111 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs | sell | 37.03 | $0.003 | $0.11 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsTrail Blazers | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bulls vs. RocketsBulls | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.100 | $1.72 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.1 | $0.010 | $0.64 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.11 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.08 | $0.414 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 9.5 | $0.510 | $4.84 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 6.06 | $0.480 | $2.91 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 17.49 | $0.280 | $4.9 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 11.02 | $0.440 | $4.85 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.22 | $0.185 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | sell | 29.93 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 29.56 | $0.330 | $9.76 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 0.09 | $0.570 | $0.05 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | sell | 29.04 | $0.450 | $13.07 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 28.67 | $0.340 | $9.75 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | sell | 12.48 | $0.060 | $0.75 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 16.48 | $0.750 | $12.36 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 16.48 | $0.600 | $9.89 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 32.6 | $0.300 | $9.78 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsTrail Blazers | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | sell | 20.44 | $0.999 | $20.42 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.71 | $0.999 | $49.66 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.56 | $0.482 | $7.98 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.438 | $4.38 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bulls vs. RocketsBulls | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.17 | $0.041 | $2.3 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Lakers vs. KingsKings | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Texans vs. SteelersSteelers | sell | 24.39 | $0.020 | $0.49 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.089 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.089 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.75 | $0.404 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.7 | $0.382 | $10.59 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Lakers vs. KingsKings | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.52 | $0.328 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.01 | $0.238 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.7 | $0.361 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.