Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.5K |
| $0.002 |
| $5 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.007 | $4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.067 | $5 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.17 | $0.131 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.67 | $0.129 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 57.71 | $0.035 | $2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 115.75 | $0.035 | $4 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?Up | sell | 9.8 | $0.999 | $9.79 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?Up | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?Up | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 28?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 250 | $0.012 | $3 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?Yes | sell | 14.39 | $0.880 | $12.66 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 44.12 | $0.068 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.014 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?Up | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?Up | sell | 9.8 | $0.989 | $9.69 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?Up | sell | 6.25 | $0.910 | $5.69 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?Up | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?Up | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |