Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.1 | $0.812 | $14.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 19.96 |
| $0.950 |
| $18.96 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | sell | 21.67 | $0.880 | $19.07 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 21.67 | $0.950 | $20.59 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.960 | $3.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.970 | $10.66 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.700 | $2.74 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.981 | $5.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No | sell | 8.17 | $0.670 | $5.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No | buy | 8.17 | $0.640 | $5.23 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.956 | $22.94 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No | buy | 28.33 | $0.953 | $27 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.988 | $25.69 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.973 | $25.3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 27.4 | $0.976 | $26.74 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.870 | $23.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.994 | $23.86 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.212 | $0.4 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.777 | $15.54 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.993 | $21.85 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.880 | $19.36 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.840 | $5.25 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.505 | $5.05 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.971 | $29.13 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 35.2 | $0.860 | $30.27 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 35.21 | $0.730 | $25.7 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.950 | $6.65 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.979 | $5.96 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 19.5 | $0.890 | $17.36 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.999 | $16.98 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.930 | $15.81 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.336 | $4.03 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?Yes | sell | 4.98 | $0.007 | $0.03 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.023 | $0.46 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.910 | $10.92 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.750 | $9 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?No | sell | 8.91 | $0.491 | $4.37 | May 25, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.152 | $3.8 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 10-15%?Yes | sell | 4.32 | $0.270 | $1.17 | May 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.53 | $0.210 | $0.95 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.575 | $5.12 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | May 24, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.51 | $0.190 | $0.86 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 4.67 | $0.086 | $0.4 | May 23, 2026 |