Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.39 | $0.019 | $0.39 | Jan 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 57.84 |
| $0.020 |
| $1.16 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 575 | $0.020 | $11.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 206.23 | $0.130 | $26.81 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.280 | $1.65 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.036 | $0.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 274.23 | $0.440 | $120.66 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.300 | $300 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 28.21 | $0.410 | $11.57 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.370 | $370 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.360 | $180 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.440 | $96.8 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 123.97 | $0.460 | $57.03 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 43.57 | $0.410 | $17.86 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.470 | $17.86 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 17.72 | $0.410 | $7.27 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | sell | 121.13 | $0.060 | $7.27 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 3.23K | $0.150 | $484.16 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.151 | $13.74 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 25.38 | $0.290 | $7.36 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.270 | $32.4 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 17.62 | $0.260 | $4.58 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will the US add less than 100,000 jobs in October?No | sell | 45 | $0.780 | $35.1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.640 | $750.33 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 40.43 | $0.270 | $10.92 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 18.5 | $0.270 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Project 2025" during DC rally on Oct 29?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.370 | $0.82 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Project 2025" during DC rally on Oct 29?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 153.57 | $0.470 | $72.18 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 144.78 | $0.460 | $66.6 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Who will win late deciders?Harris | sell | 30 | $0.450 | $13.5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Who will win late deciders?Harris | sell | 118 | $0.450 | $53.1 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 10.52 | $0.270 | $2.84 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will the US add less than 100,000 jobs in October?No | buy | 102.72 | $0.720 | $73.96 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Who will win late deciders?Harris | sell | 171 | $0.460 | $78.66 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will the US add 150-200k jobs in October?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.180 | $9.6 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will the US add less than 100,000 jobs in October?No | buy | 323.28 | $0.720 | $232.76 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will the US add less than 100,000 jobs in October?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.713 | $2.46 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will the US add 150-200k jobs in October?Yes | buy | 357.44 | $0.200 | $71.49 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.250 | $0.26 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.77 | $0.470 | $1.3 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.115 | $115 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.270 | $0.88 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 193.34 | $0.250 | $48.34 | Oct 24, 2024 |