Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.210 | $3.89 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 47.87 |
| $0.180 |
| $8.62 |
| Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.830 | $21.28 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 24.69 | $0.840 | $20.74 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.850 | $24.28 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 114.94 | $0.775 | $89.11 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 28.16 | $0.993 | $27.96 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 143.51 | $0.710 | $101.89 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 78.74 | $0.127 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 144.04 | $0.694 | $100 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.200 | $4.77 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.670 | $15.22 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 124.75 | $0.960 | $119.76 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.995 | $23.97 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Megaquake in June?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 196.57 | $0.996 | $195.78 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 118.1 | $0.965 | $113.97 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.922 | $21.95 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Yes | sell | 34.02 | $0.645 | $21.94 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 27.45 | $0.922 | $25.31 | May 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 81.76 | $0.930 | $76.04 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.500 | $3.4 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 19.12 | $0.770 | $14.72 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.530 | $14.72 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 54.75 | $0.916 | $50.15 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?Yes | sell | 30.13 | $0.365 | $11 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.1 | $0.504 | $16.68 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.989 | $22.47 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?Yes | buy | 25.38 | $0.788 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 24.8 | $0.410 | $10.17 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?Yes | buy | 30.13 | $0.670 | $20.19 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.809 | $8.03 | May 8, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.9 | $0.460 | $20.19 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.520 | $6.5 | May 8, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 9?Yes | buy | 16.72 | $0.670 | $11.2 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.990 | $26.73 | May 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | May 7, 2025 |
| Megaquake in May?No | buy | 8.72 | $0.950 | $8.28 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?No | buy | 24.48 | $0.817 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.741 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |