Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 507 | $0.675 | $433.49 | +$91.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 870 | $0.128 | $111.36 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 420 |
| $0.360 |
| $287.7 |
| +$136.5 |
 Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300.08 | $0.811 | $222.06 | -$21.27 |
| sell |
| 1.07K |
| $0.082 |
| $88.07 |
| Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.197 | $197 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.055 | $55 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 820 | $0.187 | $153.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.690 | $115.23 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.360 | $50.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.360 | $100.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.69 | $0.680 | $14.75 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.725 | $35.53 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.860 | $258 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.09 | $0.831 | $59.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 440 | $0.590 | $259.6 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 610.87 | $0.600 | $366.52 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?No | sell | 449.94 | $0.220 | $98.99 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?No | sell | 124.56 | $0.689 | $85.76 | May 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 154.61 | $0.750 | $115.96 | May 15, 2026 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?Down | buy | 208.35 | $0.357 | $74.42 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.240 | $14.4 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.712 | $22.79 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.13 | $0.773 | $14.78 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 114.88 | $0.580 | $66.63 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes | buy | 130.52 | $0.530 | $69.18 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 480.56 | $0.730 | $350.81 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.717 | $40.15 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 440 | $0.520 | $228.8 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?Yes | sell | 200.56 | $0.760 | $152.43 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 870 | $0.155 | $134.85 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.069 | $74.11 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.008 | $16 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 599.99 | $0.903 | $541.79 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.091 | $273 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 369.99 | $0.961 | $355.43 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 380 | $0.891 | $338.59 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 556.64 | $0.072 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.770 | $115.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?Up | buy | 95.8 | $0.640 | $61.31 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?Down | sell | 132.02 | $0.350 | $46.21 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?Down | sell | 322.49 | $0.420 | $135.45 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 455 | $0.560 | $254.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Up | sell | 719.24 | $0.021 | $15.1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Up | sell | 194.21 | $0.030 | $5.83 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | sell | 113.52 | $0.540 | $61.3 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | sell | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | sell | 8 | $0.560 | $4.48 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | sell | 269.15 | $0.682 | $183.63 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.770 | $308 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 135.78 | $0.850 | $115.41 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.800 | $104 | Jan 25, 2026 |