Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 7.1 | $0.310 | $4.19 | +$1.99 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.560 | $2.2 | 23h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.64 |
| $0.390 |
| $2.03 |
| -$0.17 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 5.12 | $0.430 | $1.82 | -$0.38 |
| buy |
| 5.64 |
| $0.390 |
| $2.2 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.680 | $2.2 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.430 | $2.2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.310 | $2.2 | 7d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.790 | $2.2 | 8d ago |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.710 | $2.2 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 17d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.780 | $2.2 | 18d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.470 | $2.2 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.540 | $2.2 | 28d ago |
 Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.550 | $2.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.600 | $2.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.520 | $2.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.230 | $2.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.430 | $2.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 6.47 | $0.340 | $2.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.700 | $2.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.710 | $2.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.780 | $2.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.430 | $2.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.800 | $2.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.760 | $2.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.39 | $0.499 | $2.19 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.780 | $2.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |