Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 235.77 | $0.975 | $229.88 | 1d ago |
|
| buy |
| 210 |
| $0.983 |
| $206.43 |
| 28d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 210 | $0.987 | $207.27 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 235.77 | $0.910 | $214.55 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 789.27 | $0.961 | $758.49 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 339.79 | $0.984 | $334.35 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 639.71 | $0.986 | $630.75 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.939 | $30.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No | buy | 146.26 | $0.978 | $143.04 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 175 | $0.996 | $174.3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 189 | $0.990 | $187.11 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.968 | $580.8 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 767.47 | $0.980 | $752.12 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 186.81 | $0.930 | $173.73 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No | buy | 932.85 | $0.996 | $929.12 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No | buy | 165.05 | $0.989 | $163.29 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No | buy | 261.59 | $0.900 | $235.43 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 249.52 | $0.976 | $243.53 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 252.4 | $0.985 | $248.61 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 730.67 | $0.998 | $729.21 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?Yes | buy | 729.91 | $0.995 | $726.23 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 891.99 | $0.985 | $878.61 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 12?No | buy | 879.5 | $0.997 | $876.86 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | sell | 881.27 | $0.995 | $876.86 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 881.27 | $0.996 | $877.74 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 878.62 | $0.996 | $875.11 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?No | buy | 875.11 | $0.999 | $874.23 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 835.08 | $0.996 | $831.74 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 February 23-March 1?No | buy | 832.57 | $0.996 | $829.24 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 830.08 | $0.993 | $824.27 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No | buy | 815.1 | $0.997 | $812.65 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 12?No | buy | 358.78 | $0.999 | $358.42 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 11?No | buy | 503.74 | $0.999 | $503.24 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 9?Yes | buy | 230.15 | $0.999 | $229.92 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 10?Yes | buy | 273.61 | $0.991 | $271.19 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 9?Yes | buy | 229.88 | $0.993 | $228.27 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 7?No | buy | 500.15 | $0.998 | $499.15 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 6?No | buy | 499.08 | $0.998 | $498.08 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on February 5?No | buy | 417.4 | $0.997 | $416.33 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on February 4?No | buy | 80.83 | $0.998 | $80.67 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No | buy | 211.54 | $0.995 | $210.38 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No | buy | 135.82 | $0.998 | $135.55 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.994 | $49.76 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 402.67 | $0.900 | $362.4 | Jan 3, 2026 |