Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 461.54 | $0.130 | $17.77 | -$42.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.286 | $15.05 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 14.49 |
| $0.690 |
| $8.91 |
| -$1.09 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $7.95 | -$12.05 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 39.22 | $0.510 | $6.86 | -$13.14 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 97.38 | $0.411 | $2.19 | -$37.81 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 422.57 | $0.142 | $1.9 | -$58.1 |
| buy |
| 41.67 |
| $0.120 |
| $5 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.102 | $133.64 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 212.81 | $0.896 | $190.68 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.450 | $15 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 17.41 | $0.287 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.04 | $0.097 | $7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.77 | $0.142 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.44 | $0.304 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 7.45 | $0.133 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 7.72 | $0.129 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 5.86 | $0.169 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | buy | 2.31 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6AM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 19.51 | $0.330 | $6.44 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 27.85 | $0.740 | $20.61 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 121.97 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 72.49 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 49.92 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 33.78 | $0.089 | $2.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 16.49 | $0.180 | $2.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 11.33 | $0.260 | $2.94 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 19.92 | $0.100 | $1.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 42.14 | $0.460 | $19.38 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 699.97 | $0.010 | $7 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 123.87 | $0.160 | $19.82 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 37.26 | $0.520 | $19.38 | Feb 4, 2026 |