Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.430 | $0.28 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.43 |
| $0.700 |
| $1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by May 1?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.550 | $0.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| ChatGPT Outage by May 1?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.550 | $0.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.670 | $0.97 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.100 | $0.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes | sell | 4.24 | $0.380 | $1.61 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.230 | $0.95 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 1.18 | $0.840 | $0.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.46 | $0.910 | $3.15 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 1.37 | $0.990 | $1.36 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 1.37 | $0.720 | $0.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 20.22 | $0.045 | $0.91 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.130 | $0.16 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 3.36 | $0.080 | $0.27 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.026 | $0.26 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.996 | $0.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 6.99 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.630 | $1.26 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.420 | $0.42 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.061 | $0.09 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.061 | $0.03 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.520 | $0.26 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 0.81 | $0.430 | $0.35 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.034 | $0.34 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.033 | $0.16 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.753 | $2.51 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.760 | $0.91 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.280 | $0.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.715 | $0.83 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.420 | $0.42 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.420 | $0.14 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.450 | $0.23 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.750 | $0.38 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.590 | $0.3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.560 | $1.01 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.110 | $0.44 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | sell | 0.44 | $0.364 | $0.16 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.510 | $0.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.401 | $0.04 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |