Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.790 | $9.35 | +$1.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Jan 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.790 |
| $5 |
| +$1.05 |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 5 | $0.880 | $4.98 | +$0.58 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10 | $0.435 | $4.98 | +$0.63 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.91 | +$0.91 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.435 | $4.85 | +$0.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5 | $0.650 | $4.29 | +$1.04 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.340 | $3.93 | +$2.23 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 5 | $0.750 | $3.38 | -$0.38 |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.300 | $3.13 | +$1.63 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.540 | $3.08 | +$0.38 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.370 | $2.33 | +$0.48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $1.58 | -$0.43 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 2.27 | $0.560 | $1.46 | +$0.19 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.370 | $0.43 | -$1.43 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 10 | $0.365 | $0.26 | -$3.4 |
| buy |
| 9.74 |
| $0.350 |
| $3.41 |
| Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Chicago record the first snowfall?Yes | sell | 100.17 | $0.520 | $52.09 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Chicago record the first snowfall?No | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Chicago record the first snowfall?No | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | sell | 96.53 | $0.280 | $27.03 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 96.53 | $0.300 | $28.96 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?25bps cut | sell | 5.15 | $0.963 | $4.96 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?25bps cut | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 34.58 | $0.710 | $24.55 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 17.74 | $0.720 | $12.77 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 192.15 | $0.193 | $37 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6PM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | sell | 30 | $0.226 | $6.78 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.175 | $1.75 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 12.7 | $0.370 | $4.7 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown | sell | 6.21 | $0.620 | $3.85 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 6.21 | $0.490 | $3.04 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.437 | $4.37 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.435 | $4.35 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | sell | 9.99 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.245 | $2.45 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 9.99 | $0.565 | $5.64 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | sell | 9.99 | $0.535 | $5.34 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 101.03 | $0.710 | $71.73 | Apr 11, 2025 |