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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jun 20, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 93 |
| $0.470 |
| $43.71 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.470 | $46.06 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.976 | $40.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.360 | $8.64 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.059 | $0.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.060 | $1.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.933 | $31.72 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.932 | $44.74 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.060 | $9.72 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.380 | $8.74 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.520 | $11.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.222 | $3.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.938 | $5.63 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.813 | $49.59 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.540 | $24.84 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.145 | $22.91 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.135 | $21.33 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.540 | $11.88 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.270 | $2.43 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.025 | $3.95 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.540 | $4.86 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.540 | $4.86 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.970 | $41.71 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.952 | $28.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.810 | $7.29 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.170 | $11.73 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.450 | $28.35 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.450 | $26.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.981 | $42.18 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 47 | $0.984 | $46.25 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.986 | $46.34 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will FlyQuest win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.004 | $0.04 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.029 | $2.23 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Yes | sell | 312 | $0.008 | $2.54 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.027 | $1.73 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.968 | $4.84 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.026 | $1.85 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.968 | $4.84 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.030 | $2.31 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.698 | $22.34 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.025 | $1.38 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.076 | $1.52 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 39 | $0.982 | $38.3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 45 | $0.982 | $44.19 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 46 | $0.984 | $45.26 | Jul 3, 2025 |