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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 315 | $0.220 | $17.33 | -$51.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | May 30, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 257 |
| $0.116 |
| $14.14 |
| -$15.79 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 0.18 | $0.926 | $0.17 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 83 |
| $0.120 |
| $9.96 |
| May 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.120 | $9.96 | May 30, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.380 | $9.88 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.380 | $9.88 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.350 | $10.15 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.350 | $10.15 | May 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.110 | $10.01 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.350 | $10.15 | May 28, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.72 | $0.110 | $5.69 | May 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.290 | $22.62 | May 15, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.250 | $21 | May 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 126 | $0.050 | $6.3 | May 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | May 10, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.240 | $10.08 | May 10, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.240 | $10.08 | May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.470 | $9.87 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.240 | $10.08 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.530 | $10.07 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.280 | $10.08 | May 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.921 | $14.74 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 16.18 | $0.926 | $14.98 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 20-26?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 26?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.350 | $9.45 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 137 | $0.070 | $9.59 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 254 | $0.080 | $20.32 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.073 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.370 | $9.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.090 | $9.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.070 | $10.01 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.060 | $10.02 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies | buy | 13.75 | $0.702 | $9.65 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.120 | $9.24 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.150 | $18.6 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.130 | $10.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.160 | $9.92 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.160 | $9.92 | Apr 23, 2026 |