Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 298.54 | $0.944 | $287.34 | +$5.49 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | sell | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 204.08 |
| $0.737 |
| $200.92 |
| +$50.43 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.67K | $0.030 | $200 | +$0.01 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | No | 64.22 | $0.910 | $57.48 | -$0.96 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026? | No | 19.01 | $0.936 | $18.62 | +$0.83 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | No | 16 | $0.466 | $8.4 | +$0.95 |
 Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | Yes | 16 | $0.484 | $8.32 | +$0.57 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | Yes | 64.21 | $0.040 | $8.12 | +$5.55 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? | Yes | 204.09 | $0.078 | $3.57 | -$12.33 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 298.55 | $0.013 | $2.24 | -$1.76 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | Yes | 19.01 | $0.053 | $0.6 | -$0.41 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | Yes | 204.08 | $0.101 | $0.1 | -$20.49 |
| buy |
| 6.67K |
| $0.030 |
| $200 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.099 | $5.94 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.630 | $0.02 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.880 | $0.02 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 97.32 | $0.410 | $39.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 97.35 | $0.641 | $62.4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 97.34 | $0.900 | $87.61 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.410 | $2.12 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.900 | $4.65 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.641 | $3.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.510 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.920 | $0.02 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.687 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.930 | $5.2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.940 | $5.26 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.58 | $0.830 | $4.63 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.698 | $3.91 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.950 | $5.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.59 | $0.590 | $3.3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.180 | $0.01 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.210 | $1.51 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.757 | $5.41 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.425 | $17.02 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 59.9 | $0.780 | $46.72 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 59.91 | $0.969 | $58.05 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 59.91 | $0.220 | $13.18 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.160 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 72.53 | $0.170 | $12.33 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 72.5 | $0.980 | $71.05 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 72.5 | $0.800 | $58 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.953 | $28.59 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.322 | $0.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 37.52 | $0.335 | $12.57 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.720 | $27 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.900 | $33.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.090 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.060 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Yes | buy | 61.09 | $0.110 | $6.72 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?Yes | buy | 61.08 | $0.017 | $1.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 61.08 | $0.750 | $45.81 | Jul 15, 2026 |