Latest trade
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:32 PM UTC.
Analytics
Decisive-Story has made $467.91 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:32 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Jun 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.280 | $1.75 | -$0.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.670 | $1.6 | 18d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-22 22:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 20:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 20:32 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-22 22:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.14K and losing ones cost $504.62 across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $422.76 on “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $202.16 on “Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula” (Aryna Sabalenka).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Oct 2026. It has traded 77 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.75 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $2 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 32.76 | $0.580 | $19 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.250 | $13 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | sell | 33.5 | $0.998 | $33.42 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.595 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel RinconLaslo Djere | buy | 5.63 | $0.710 | $4 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan KozlovJacob Fearnley | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 25.1 | $0.597 | $15 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 23.1 | $0.630 | $14.55 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 89.87 | $0.111 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic | buy | 28.85 | $0.520 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.329 | $8.97 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | sell | 36.36 | $0.340 | $12.36 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 67.87 | $0.860 | $58.37 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Yes | buy | 139.11 | $0.043 | $6 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 18.08 | $0.582 | $10.53 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 70.64 | $0.720 | $50.86 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19K | $0.001 | $19 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 29.54 | $0.345 | $10.19 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxAtlanta Braves | sell | 18.51 | $0.500 | $9.26 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will CDOriente Petrolero win on 2026-06-21?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.030 | $0.68 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.7K | $0.002 | $13.4 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 77.28 | $0.390 | $30.14 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 43.46 | $0.460 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura SiegemundLaura Siegemund | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Janice Tjen vs Caty McNallyCaty McNally | buy | 16.29 | $0.798 | $13 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Fiona Crawley vs Himeno SakatsumeFiona Crawley | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bad Homburg Open (Doubles): Hsieh/Wang vs Eikeri/GleasonHsieh/Wang | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Plovdiv: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Petr NesterovPetr Nesterov | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Manoj Dhamne ManasManoj Dhamne Manas | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma NavarroEmma Navarro | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.