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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.97K | $0.570 | $5.11K | Mar 31, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 19.34K |
| $0.023 |
| $438.42 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 6.45K | $0.046 | $296.94 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 8.6K | $0.043 | $372.33 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.01K | $0.050 | $500 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.31K | $0.105 | $349.31 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.21K | $0.080 | $500 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.62K | $0.069 | $250 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.28K | $0.049 | $500 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.44K | $0.130 | $1.23K | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.66K | $0.090 | $329.36 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.090 | $0.99 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.18K | $0.080 | $734.43 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.9K | $0.067 | $801.16 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.02K | $0.083 | $1K | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 7.23K | $0.160 | $1.16K | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.34K | $0.136 | $1K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 17.85K | $0.200 | $3.57K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.64K | $0.215 | $1K | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.198 | $500 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.26K | $0.190 | $1K | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.76K | $0.230 | $2.47K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.33K | $0.240 | $2.48K | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 8.61K | $0.220 | $1.9K | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.056 | $1.12K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.056 | $1.12K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 725.11 | $0.038 | $27.65 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.35K | $0.230 | $1K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.04K | $0.230 | $3K | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | sell | 6.03K | $0.127 | $766.12 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 6.03K | $0.166 | $1K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | sell | 13.53K | $0.005 | $67.69 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.014 | $70.39 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 18.53K | $0.027 | $500 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.01K | $0.953 | $4.77K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.130 | $282.01 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.25K | $0.020 | $332.01 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.25K | $0.024 | $388.39 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.219 | $544.62 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.05K | $0.170 | $687.85 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.32K | $0.012 | $687.86 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.180 | $291.9 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.28K | $0.015 | $310 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.12K | $0.015 | $149.86 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14K | $0.014 | $100 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.78K | $0.067 | $1.26K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.66K | $0.270 | $717.17 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Feb 19, 2026 |