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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.560 | $3.1 | +$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 2.67 | $0.998 | $2.66 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.47 |
| $0.680 |
| $1.4 |
| +$0.4 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.29 | $0.900 | $1.24 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.16 | $0.864 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.330 | $0.28 | -$0.4 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.32 | $0.760 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 2.67 |
| $0.958 |
| $2.56 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.999 | $2.69 | 21d ago |
| Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.950 | $2.56 | 21d ago |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.999 | $2.63 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.999 | $2.66 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.950 | $2.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.960 | $2.56 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 2.73 | $0.295 | $0.81 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.340 | $0.92 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.950 | $2.57 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.960 | $2.63 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 2.69 | $0.998 | $2.68 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.960 | $2.55 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.950 | $2.56 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.989 | $0.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | sell | 2.6 | $0.999 | $2.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.970 | $2.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | sell | 2.62 | $0.999 | $2.62 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.960 | $2.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 2.61 | $0.999 | $2.61 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.999 | $1.08 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.944 | $2.38 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.960 | $2.43 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.950 | $2.48 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.950 | $2.48 | May 19, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.950 | $2.53 | May 15, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.950 | $2.58 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.995 | $2.67 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.960 | $2.58 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.999 | $2.77 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No | sell | 12.79 | $0.999 | $12.78 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.998 | $1.26 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 9.51 | $0.999 | $9.5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rose be appointed as manager of Tottenham?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.999 | $0.06 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.999 | $0.01 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.29 | $0.999 | $20.27 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.999 | $2.77 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.999 | $1.58 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.999 | $2.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Mar 1, 2026 |