Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.050 | $0.35 | 13d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 10.33 |
| $0.968 |
| $10 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 26?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 4.64 | $0.999 | $4.64 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 17.7 | $0.941 | $16.66 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.994 | $4.62 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 9.34 | $0.964 | $9 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.890 | $8.34 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.900 | $2.72 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.986 | $7 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.988 | $2.6 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.982 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.997 | $1.04 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 6?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.998 | $1.09 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by February 7?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.982 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.999 | $2.03 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.999 | $2.53 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike EditionYes | sell | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.07 | $0.142 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.300 | $0.32 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.996 | $1.62 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.964 | $2.01 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.989 | $1.02 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.940 | $1.4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.530 | $0.93 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |