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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.140 | $0.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 23 |
| $0.300 |
| $6.9 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.063 | $4.66 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.036 | $1.33 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.037 | $2.07 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.038 | $3.15 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.230 | $0.46 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.220 | $0.66 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.220 | $1.54 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.82 | $0.008 | $0.05 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Belgium win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 70.04 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.170 | $0.51 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.120 | $0.36 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.160 | $0.32 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.160 | $0.48 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.008 | $0.02 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.177 | $1.24 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.110 | $0.33 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.110 | $0.77 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.200 | $0.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.120 | $0.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.120 | $0.36 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.120 | $0.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.150 | $0.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.440 | $5.28 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.160 | $2.72 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.100 | $2.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.100 | $5.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Belgium win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the World Cup?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.181 | $8.87 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.430 | $3.87 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.135 | $1.35 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.060 | $10.92 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.120 | $10.44 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the World Cup?No | sell | 12 | $0.790 | $9.48 | Jun 30, 2026 |