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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.989 | $8.12 | Feb 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 125.77 |
| $0.026 |
| $3.27 |
| Jan 21, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.957 | $7.75 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.930 | $9.99 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.961 | $5.66 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 933.33 | $0.003 | $2.8 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.990 | $12.88 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 112.36 | $0.993 | $111.57 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.995 | $111.8 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.999 | $7.58 | May 30, 2025 |
F1 season canceled or other team wins?No | sell | 103.71 | $0.996 | $103.3 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.994 | $8.84 | May 27, 2025 |
F1 season canceled or other team wins?No | buy | 103.71 | $0.997 | $103.4 | May 27, 2025 |
Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 108.35 | $0.995 | $107.81 | May 25, 2025 |
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.978 | $9.79 | May 23, 2025 |
Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 108.35 | $0.995 | $107.81 | May 23, 2025 |
Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 72.95 | $0.998 | $72.8 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.999 | $8.18 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 72.95 | $0.999 | $72.88 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 80.02 | $0.997 | $79.78 | May 16, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 74.02 | $0.992 | $73.43 | May 15, 2025 |
Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 12.43 | $0.985 | $12.24 | May 14, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 74.03 | $0.993 | $73.51 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.990 | $6.34 | May 12, 2025 |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 82.92 | $0.996 | $82.59 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 82.93 | $0.997 | $82.68 | May 10, 2025 |
Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.999 | $7.57 | May 10, 2025 |
Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.999 | $10.01 | May 10, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 183.48 | $0.023 | $4.22 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.993 | $6.73 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 72.51 | $0.996 | $72.22 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.999 | $3.94 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 72.52 | $0.997 | $72.3 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 10.82 | $0.993 | $10.74 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 81.34 | $0.999 | $81.24 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 81.35 | $0.996 | $81.02 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 76.97 | $0.997 | $76.74 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 13.88 | $0.999 | $13.87 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 18–25?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.999 | $7.04 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.994 | $5.51 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 76.96 | $0.998 | $76.81 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 80.22 | $0.997 | $79.98 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 80.22 | $0.999 | $80.14 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 73.45 | $0.997 | $73.23 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 11–18?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.999 | $10.44 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 73.46 | $0.998 | $73.31 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 39.25 | $0.997 | $39.13 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 39.94 | $0.998 | $39.86 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.984 | $10.67 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Masters?No | buy | 18.73 | $0.994 | $18.62 | Apr 12, 2025 |