Latest trade
Aug 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:38 PM UTC.
Analytics
Well-Informed-Affidavit is down $414.3 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:38 PM UTC.
$76.67 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Oct 12, 2024 UTC to Aug 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 256.75 | $0.120 | $8.86 | -$21.95 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Solana Up or Down - August 25, 6PM ETDown | sell | 15 | $0.490 | $7.35 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-09 17:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 15:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 15:38 UTC
polymarket positions
35 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-09 17:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.39K and losing ones cost $95.38 across 34 settled positions. 32.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $374.26 on “Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2AM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $60.33 on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Aug 2026. It has traded 40 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.86 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 231.42 |
| $0.500 |
| $115.71 |
| Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - July 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 196.8 | $0.500 | $98.4 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 213.48 | $0.500 | $106.74 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 261.42 | $0.500 | $130.71 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 228.84 | $0.500 | $114.42 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 229.03 | $0.500 | $114.52 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 485.78 | $0.360 | $174.88 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 485.56 | $0.360 | $174.8 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 120.25 | $0.935 | $112.43 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 882.31 | $0.065 | $57.35 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 982.56 | $0.057 | $56.01 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 115.87 | $0.946 | $109.61 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.13 | $0.946 | $21.88 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.946 | $55.81 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.946 | $4.73 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 203 | $0.947 | $192.24 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 185.5 | $0.500 | $92.75 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 298.02 | $0.500 | $149.01 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 255.68 | $0.500 | $127.84 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2AM ETDown | buy | 231.32 | $0.500 | $115.66 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2AM ETDown | buy | 275.14 | $0.500 | $137.57 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2AM ETDown | buy | 242.06 | $0.500 | $121.03 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4AM ETUp | buy | 446.76 | $0.510 | $227.85 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 10, 6AM ETDown | buy | 213.59 | $0.510 | $108.93 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ETUp | buy | 472.73 | $0.509 | $240.49 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4AM ETUp | buy | 119.29 | $0.503 | $60.04 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 118.82 | $0.510 | $60.6 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 256.75 | $0.120 | $30.81 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | sell | 7.5K | $0.190 | $1.43K | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 7.5K | $0.190 | $1.43K | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down on October 30?Down | buy | 84.31 | $0.510 | $43 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11AM ETUp | buy | 198.47 | $0.510 | $101.22 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8PM ETUp | buy | 1.26K | $0.522 | $659.63 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 99.94 | $0.513 | $51.3 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown | buy | 200.18 | $0.525 | $105.09 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 16.03 | $0.997 | $15.98 | Aug 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | Aug 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?No | sell | 17.39 | $0.987 | $17.16 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?No | buy | 17.39 | $0.990 | $17.22 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes | sell | 17.34 | $0.993 | $17.22 | May 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes | buy | 17.34 | $0.994 | $17.24 | May 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.001 | $2.2 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No | sell | 19.76 | $0.984 | $19.44 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 19.77 | $0.987 | $19.51 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Daniel Penny sentenced to more than 10 years years?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.004 | $4 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
 GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?No | sell | 14.11 | $0.998 | $14.08 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?No | buy | 14.11 | $0.999 | $14.1 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 5.76K | $0.001 | $5.76 | Oct 12, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.