Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 81.4 | $0.430 | $66.34 | +$31.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 73.79 | $0.027 | $2 | 14d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.100 |
| $6.5 |
| -$3.5 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 62.5 | $0.320 | $2.81 | -$17.19 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 81.4 |
| $0.430 |
| $35 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026?No | buy | 10.86 | $0.092 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 3, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.5 | $0.114 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.450 | $40 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 75.37 | $0.999 | $75.29 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 45.24 | $0.129 | $5.82 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 75.38 | $0.597 | $45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50.25 | $0.409 | $20.55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 45.25 | $0.442 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 48.89 | $0.900 | $44 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 60.6 | $0.470 | $28.48 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.866 | $7.09 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?No | sell | 9.75 | $0.803 | $7.83 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 69.12 | $0.582 | $40.23 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Middle East" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 46.58 | $0.644 | $30 | Jul 16, 2026 |